Joshua's immediate goal is to rise again and regain the championship belts. His strategy includes defeating Otto Wallin (done) and then seeking an IBF title shot after the winner of Usyk vs Fury is potentially stripped of their title. This would be followed by winning the IBF title against Filip Hrgovic—a fighter some see as overrated despite his victory over McKean—and finally aiming to challenge for unification against the victor of Usyk vs Fury 2.
Wilder, on the other hand, comes off a career tarnished by two definitive losses and arguably a third. Despite no longer holding any belts and being past his peak skill level, he remains a dangerous opponent in the eyes of many. The story gets deeper as we look at Joshua’s risk assessment. Advisors and fans alike view fighting Wilder as an unnecessary risk while Joshua rebuilds.
Financial considerations also weigh heavily on AJ's choices. His promoter, Eddie Hearn, aims high for championships but also for profitable fights. With recent earnings totaling $60m from fights against Franklin and Helenius, and a potential $50m from fighting Ngannou, cautious steps take precedence over risky endeavors like facing Wilder.
The market analysis aligns with this strategy; Joshua aims to combat top 10 contenders without leaping into top-tier risks that hinder marketability or earning potential. The public still shows interest in a Joshua-Wilder match-up, yet its selling power wanes gradually over time.
This approach may result in short-term benefits but presents an existential dilemma for Joshua: Does he want to risk becoming merely a gatekeeper of the sport? For now, AJ appears focused on bouts with Ngannou and possibly Hrgovic for 2024 rather than delving into a risky engagement with Wilder.
Moreover, Joshua seems content with deferring any potential clash with Wilder until possibly late 2024 or beyond when both could meet—should they stay victorious—in what might be more than just another bout but possibly a chance at title unification.
On reflection, Anthony Joshua’s road back to glory is meticulously planned with financial soundness and strategic matches at its core. Fans may have to wait longer than expected for a heavyweight showdown with Deontay Wilder—if it happens at all. In boxing as in life, timing is critical; and for AJ right now, time dictates caution above conflict.