UFC Fight Night 261 - Betting Odds, Prediction: Lacerda vs Oliveira

Ronald Crawley Oct. 10, 2025, 5:25 p.m.

Luan Lacerda and Saimon Oliveira, both from Brazil, prepare to enter the octagon at the Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro. Scheduled in the undercard of UFC Fight Night 261, they will compete in a three-round Bantamweight fight as they seek redemption from their recent losses.

Luan Lacerda became a professional MMA fighter seven years ago. Having won 12 out of his 15 fights, he faced a loss against Da'Mon Blackshear by TKO punches last year. Saimon Oliveira started his professional journey nine years ago, with an overall record of 18 wins and six losses.

Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira Betting Odds

  • Favorite: Luan Lacerda : 1.4 (-250)
  • Underdog: Saimon Oliveira : 3.2 (+225)
Method of victory Luan Lacerda Saimon Oliveira
By KO/TKO or disqualification 7.0 (+600) 9.5 (+850)
By decision or technical decision 6.1 (+510) 9.0 (+800)

Luan Lacerda steps in as the favorite with odds of 1.4 (-250), signaling high confidence in his victory. A $250 bet could bring a $100 profit on him winning. Saimon Oliveira, the underdog, offers odds of 3.2 (+225), suggesting risk but more reward. His $100 wager could earn you $225. A Lacerda KO rewards at 7.0 (+600). Oliveira's KO chances stand at 9.5 (+850). On points, Lacerda holds at 6.1 (+510) and Oliveira trails at 9.0 (+800). Expect tight competition, with tactical maneuvers deciding this bout.

What time is Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira fight

Live coverage for the Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira main card will start at 04:00 PM EST on UFC Fight Pass. Refer to the table below to find your local time.

Region Date Main Card Start Time Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira Ring Walks (approx.)
USA and Canada (EST) Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025 04:00 PM 05:00 PM
USA and Canada (PT) Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025 01:00 PM 02:00 PM
UK and Ireland (GMT) Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025 08:00 PM 09:00 PM
Australia (AEDT) Sunday, Oct. 12, 2025 07:00 AM 08:00 AM

How and where to watch the Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira Fight

You can watch Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira via UFC Fight Pass.

Region Live-streaming
USA UFC Fight Pass
Canada UFC Fight Pass
UK and Ireland UFC Fight Pass
Australia UFC Fight Pass
India UFC Fight Pass

If your country is blocked by the streaming services or there simply isn’t any viable options for your country, we only can recommend one solution: using a VPN software to bypass the restrictions. It allows you to change your IP address and appear as if you’re watching the event from another country.

So if you live in either the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, India, UAE, Mexico, Spain or any other country and can’t find a working provider to watch the Luan Lacerda vs Saimon Oliveira fight, use our recommended (and tested) VPN and switch to a location of your choice.

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